PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nbf88a

0x10d4c35eb0a26c0e2fab75e7eb6cdaff0f3169eb

Realised P&L
$-36.6k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
1,875
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,875
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.9300.755$755.00−$175.00
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3600.875$375.07+$220.75
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.014$2.03−$40.02
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5) · Trail Blazers0.4900.000$0.00−$49.00
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) · Kings0.4800.000$0.00−$480.00
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.2800.000$0.00−$5.60
Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$200.00
Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5 · Over0.5900.000$0.00−$236.00
FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5 · Over0.4000.000$0.00−$160.00
Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5 · Over0.3500.000$0.00−$140.00
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5 · Under0.6500.000$0.00−$264.00
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1700.000$0.00−$34.00
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1700.000$0.00−$3.40
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$200.00
Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 5.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:55Spread: Pacers (-3.5)BUY0.5199999996$530.00
10-31 20:36AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5BUY0.439999999$18.00
10-31 17:46Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5BUY0.4499999988$18.40
10-31 15:18Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5BUY0.5$20.40
10-31 15:18SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5BUY0.4499999988$18.40
10-31 03:33Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)BUY0.53$9.01
10-30 23:25Spread: Pistons (-7.5)BUY0.4799999997$490.00
10-30 20:48Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5BUY0.4599999912$18.80
10-30 02:41Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)BUY0.55$55.00
10-28 23:55Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)BUY0.537642735$540.00
10-27 20:03AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5BUY0.43$17.20
10-27 18:23US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 7.5BUY0.4329999922$17.60
10-26 23:55Spread: Thunder (-8.5)BUY0.5299999998$540.00
10-25 18:00Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5BUY0.47$18.80
10-25 16:02RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5BUY0.56$22.40