5273853
0x10b289276b2b69cac7b1bbc58601009b6ee74ceb
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $2.84M
- Markets traded
- 32,267
- Open portfolio
- $15.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded32,267
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.108Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$1.1kat 0.104US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$1.1kat 0.210Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.080Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$671.14at 0.130US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 16:26 | Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $3.03 |
| 06-20 16:24 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.129 | $0.65 |
| 06-20 16:24 | Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.06 |
| 06-20 16:24 | Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.95 |
| 06-20 16:24 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.16 |
| 06-20 16:24 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | SELL | 0.5131967451 | $17.66 |
| 06-20 16:24 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | SELL | 0.0093724084 | $0.60 |
| 06-20 16:24 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.2329755719 | $47.97 |
| 06-20 16:24 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $9.79 |
| 06-20 16:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0124285867 | $3.48 |
| 06-20 16:19 | Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 06-20 16:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.36 | $1.86 |
| 06-20 16:19 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.51 |
| 06-20 16:19 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.15 |
| 06-20 16:19 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.371 | $2.31 |