PolyBot

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Traders

EXNIHILOFX

0x10a1f7443ff17af0a73471f0294b29fa0376c3be

Realised P&L
$-542.09
Volume
$30.4k
Markets traded
874
Open portfolio
$20.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded874
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3? · No0.9640.998$7.24+$0.24
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? · Yes0.9800.904$6.46−$0.54
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.9760.985$3.53+$0.03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9910.996$3.01+$0.01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? · Yes0.9420.000$0.00−$4.97
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? · No0.8940.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? · No0.9810.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? · No0.9650.000$0.00−$7.00
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5) · 1. FSV Mainz 050.7300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? · Yes0.9030.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5? · Yes0.9530.000$0.00−$4.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 15:04Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?SELL0.714$5.03
10-02 08:29Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?BUY0.988$7.00
10-02 08:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3?BUY0.9639999719$7.00
10-02 06:29Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.9799998824$7.00
10-01 19:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?BUY0.9679999956$3.50
10-01 17:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?BUY0.9749998886$3.50
10-01 15:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 2?BUY0.9599998245$3.50
10-01 13:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?BUY0.9719999967$3.50
09-30 21:53Iran full airspace closure by September 30?SELL0.995$3.66
09-30 21:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.998$3.67
09-30 21:53Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?SELL0.999$3.71
09-30 20:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.713$2.52
09-30 20:01Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?SELL0.695$2.45
09-30 19:21Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.99$3.50
09-30 19:21Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?BUY0.982999998$3.50