lathar
0x108a856a840af7c0736f71ed3f9a0452a1429818
- Realised P&L
- $-148.37
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $152.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.255 | $78.12 | +$14.03 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.052 | $57.07 | +$7.07 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.433 | 0.725 | $10.88 | +$4.38 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.065 | 0.007 | $6.00 | −$46.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-6.57at 0.280Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-20.78at 0.227Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-22.00at 0.070Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-29.24at 0.085Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-56.18at 0.007US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:49 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.046 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 11:06 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.098 | $32.99 |
| 10-31 10:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $18.28 |
| 10-27 04:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.26 | $85.43 |
| 10-27 01:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999996 | $92.00 |
| 10-26 22:38 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 22:38 | Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2189054711 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 22:36 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.0377749416 | $22.79 |
| 10-26 17:41 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.082876034 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 17:41 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2015080305 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 21:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $49.03 |
| 10-23 23:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $22.00 |
| 10-23 22:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $112.48 |
| 10-23 22:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $300.00 |
| 10-23 21:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1699999999 | $200.00 |