PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1086c08B94852A9a30480640DE87F35830F56b09-1772387911181

0x1086c08b94852a9a30480640de87f35830f56b09

Realised P&L
$-48.29
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$12.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · No0.6720.672$9.00$0.00
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.1750.034$2.45$10.36
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0410.003$0.80$10.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.0860.000$0.00$0.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00$1.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$0.98
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? · No0.4300.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$0.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 16:48Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.6720843391$9.00
06-10 13:04GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.68$10.11
06-01 20:28Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?BUY0.1753007852$12.81
05-30 08:34Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?BUY0.0413803446$11.00
05-30 08:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.95$24.40
05-30 08:24GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.572719986$8.52
05-30 08:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.8$8.10
05-26 19:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7399999992$19.00
05-26 19:49Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.65$19.70
05-23 16:39Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7899999022$8.00
05-23 16:37US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.66$7.25
05-19 21:16Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
05-19 21:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999827$10.00
03-13 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSELL0.36$0.77
03-13 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSELL0.76$1.19