0x1086c08B94852A9a30480640DE87F35830F56b09-1772387911181
0x1086c08b94852a9a30480640de87f35830f56b09
- Realised P&L
- $-48.29
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $12.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.740US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$1.65at 0.370XRP Up or Down - March 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$1.60at 0.573GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$1.24at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 16:48 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6720843391 | $9.00 |
| 06-10 13:04 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.68 | $10.11 |
| 06-01 20:28 | Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | BUY | 0.1753007852 | $12.81 |
| 05-30 08:34 | Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.0413803446 | $11.00 |
| 05-30 08:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $24.40 |
| 05-30 08:24 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.572719986 | $8.52 |
| 05-30 08:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.10 |
| 05-26 19:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999992 | $19.00 |
| 05-26 19:49 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $19.70 |
| 05-23 16:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899999022 | $8.00 |
| 05-23 16:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $7.25 |
| 05-19 21:16 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 05-19 21:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $0.77 |
| 03-13 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $1.19 |