0xE0312d1Bd2A1D62bA1667f8769F244d3DBFb6a48-1746897813079
0x10750be5f0799a29020bbb2a0c138bb0ff70515b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.62
- Volume
- $758.77
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $39.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.525 | $26.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · Yes | 0.497 | 0.450 | $13.59 | −$1.41 |
| Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will ESPN Fantasy Sports & More be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.26at 0.087Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$15.39at 0.582Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.37at 0.776Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.4966887417 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 14:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 11:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.7689999904 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 10:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $46.31 |
| 09-10 09:36 | Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 09:35 | Will ESPN Fantasy Sports & More be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | BUY | 0.2900792869 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 08:33 | Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 08:02 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.36 | $42.35 |
| 09-01 13:32 | Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 09-01 13:31 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0849999928 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 13:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $30.00 |