LordLawliet
0x102a496e75244ed661e3f46ac9a61d2c1493df8e
- Realised P&L
- $-260.44
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $33.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.41at 0.154Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5
- +$48.54at 0.296Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5
- +$32.26at 0.387Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5
- +$31.40at 0.447Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
- +$30.27at 0.276Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 05:39 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.123444976 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 05:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $6.54 |
| 10-05 00:04 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0539999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 23:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0779999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 20:27 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3318384289 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 19:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 01:55 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.112999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 04:32 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $36.31 |
| 09-30 04:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $24.34 |
| 09-29 05:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $30.00 |
| 09-29 04:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2793017451 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 01:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 01:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 03:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 03:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |