PolyBot

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Traders

LordLawliet

0x102a496e75244ed661e3f46ac9a61d2c1493df8e

Realised P&L
$-260.44
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$33.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2400.265$22.08+$2.08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0540.052$9.72−$0.28
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.1230.015$1.22−$8.78
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 · Over0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3200.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.5190.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.0530.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Down0.6280.000$0.00−$1.00
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.4080.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.1910.000$0.00−$1.00
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.7300.000$0.00−$50.00
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00−$20.00
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2400.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 05:39Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.123444976$10.00
10-05 05:30Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.051$6.54
10-05 00:04Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0539999998$10.00
10-04 23:20Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.0779999995$10.00
10-04 20:27Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.3318384289$20.00
10-04 19:08Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2399999981$20.00
10-03 01:55Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.112999999$10.00
09-30 04:32Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.23$36.31
09-30 04:31Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.34$24.34
09-29 05:00Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.1899999998$30.00
09-29 04:59Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2793017451$20.00
09-25 01:28Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.52$20.00
09-25 01:28Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.39$15.00
09-24 03:59Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.5199999927$20.00
09-24 03:59Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.1299999982$5.00