PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

53345345

0x100fe424ef189241d9dd5be31469aad1e5844950

Realised P&L
$-66.14
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$8.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · No0.9700.966$3.43−$0.01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.971$2.81+$0.41
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.977$2.44+$0.14
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$2.10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8870.000$0.00−$1.46
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? · No0.9140.000$0.00−$1.50
Phillies vs. Brewers · Brewers0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 16:28Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.8869999897$1.46
10-18 18:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.9099999731$2.03
10-07 21:24Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?BUY0.95$2.28
09-26 10:34Genoa 2: Marvin Moeller vs Luka MikrutBUY0.8599999706$1.17
09-12 11:53Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.7399999577$2.10
09-12 11:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.658$1.01
08-13 10:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8459999141$1.30
07-31 18:24Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.967999701$2.15
07-21 10:35Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$2.30
07-11 09:46Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.9199999773$1.62
06-28 11:45Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.959999674$2.12
06-28 11:44Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?SELL0.874$1.90
06-28 11:44Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?SELL0.66$1.60
06-19 16:43Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?BUY0.9$2.19
06-17 10:37Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.986999256$1.32