53345345
0x100fe424ef189241d9dd5be31469aad1e5844950
- Realised P&L
- $-66.14
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $8.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · No | 0.970 | 0.966 | $3.43 | −$0.01 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.971 | $2.81 | +$0.41 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.977 | $2.44 | +$0.14 |
| Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.887 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.46 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? · No | 0.914 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Phillies vs. Brewers · Brewers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.41at 0.991Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?
- +$11.25at 0.100Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
- +$6.00at 0.250Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
- +$2.44at 0.999Ethereum all time high by March 31?
- +$2.04at 0.340Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8869999897 | $1.46 |
| 10-18 18:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.9099999731 | $2.03 |
| 10-07 21:24 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.28 |
| 09-26 10:34 | Genoa 2: Marvin Moeller vs Luka Mikrut | BUY | 0.8599999706 | $1.17 |
| 09-12 11:53 | Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.7399999577 | $2.10 |
| 09-12 11:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.658 | $1.01 |
| 08-13 10:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8459999141 | $1.30 |
| 07-31 18:24 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.967999701 | $2.15 |
| 07-21 10:35 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.30 |
| 07-11 09:46 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9199999773 | $1.62 |
| 06-28 11:45 | Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.959999674 | $2.12 |
| 06-28 11:44 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.874 | $1.90 |
| 06-28 11:44 | Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.60 |
| 06-19 16:43 | Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.19 |
| 06-17 10:37 | Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.986999256 | $1.32 |