PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dmto2

0x1003fc11414a1fa7e2ed1fb184b4bd283df87cce

Realised P&L
$-406.18
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 13:15Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.009$5.00
10-31 13:12Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.005$5.00
10-31 13:09Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.005$2.00
10-31 13:08Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.008$5.00
10-31 13:06Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.011$5.00
10-31 13:06Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0129620471$5.00
10-31 13:05Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.015$5.00
10-30 15:57Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$213.00
10-30 15:51Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$276.00
10-30 15:44Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.93$279.00
08-11 14:48Brownsburg: Michael Mmoh vs Edas ButvilasBUY0.76$7.60
08-11 14:26Brownsburg: Michael Mmoh vs Edas ButvilasBUY0.5299999913$5.47
08-11 14:21Hamburg: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jan KumstatBUY0.38$1.90
08-11 14:04Hamburg: Ergi Kirkin vs Andrej NedicBUY0.4$17.08
08-11 13:42Hamburg: Ergi Kirkin vs Andrej NedicBUY0.35$1.75