0x0fcf1ea09056ade65ecd85542007fa4601ee2175
0x0fcf1ea09056ade65ecd85542007fa4601ee2175
- Realised P&L
- $15.59
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $39.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.155 | $32.94 | −$0.72 |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $7.05 | −$2.35 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.791 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.90at 0.237Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$14.55at 0.249Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B
- +$2.64at 0.642Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs
- +$-0.21at 0.787Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.25at 0.462Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 13:38 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1589999969 | $4.70 |
| 10-19 13:16 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1583581428 | $4.70 |
| 10-19 12:54 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1589999969 | $4.70 |
| 10-19 12:19 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.151 | $4.82 |
| 10-19 08:47 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.158 | $0.79 |
| 10-19 08:21 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.70 |
| 10-19 08:14 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.158 | $0.79 |
| 10-19 08:12 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1589999969 | $4.70 |
| 10-19 07:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.29 |
| 10-19 07:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.786 | $4.57 |
| 10-19 07:11 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.158 | $0.79 |
| 10-19 07:10 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1589999969 | $4.70 |
| 10-19 07:09 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.147 | $4.55 |
| 10-19 07:06 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.70 |
| 10-19 06:50 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.157 | $0.79 |