PolyBot

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Traders

TheSwedishWolf

0x0fafcd98288de61a3350b24b8a1ecc1284bdd0d9

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
734
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded734
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7620.635$3.9k−$776.05
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8920.880$493.20−$6.80
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.1670.164$275.19−$4.47
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5560.557$265.51+$0.51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.295$138.94−$7.06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4530.495$136.66+$11.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.3100.007$2.44−$98.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 18:00Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.892131401$500.00
09-25 16:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.562999999$48.00
09-25 15:09Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1646022082$50.00
09-25 15:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6358257569$125.00
09-25 15:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4527562606$125.00
09-25 15:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6319999964$100.00
09-25 15:04NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$146.00
09-25 15:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.555$217.00
09-25 13:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.618$12.36
09-25 10:02Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1388601074$21.67
09-23 12:40Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1531576325$10.00
09-23 12:40Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.12$10.80
09-23 07:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6259999976$98.40
09-22 18:27Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1724778737$54.00
09-22 18:06Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?SELL0.6876376534$129.41