kthehandyman
0x0f93b26eda4e7d7022aec808ba499452eb8e3300
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $892.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.51at 0.714Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
- +$168.75at 0.640Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$150.00at 0.400Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$131.04at 0.792Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$130.60at 0.675Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 09:22 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $198.00 |
| 07-10 23:54 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 07-10 23:50 | Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0339056821 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 00:25 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5674999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-10 00:24 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2274999973 | $50.00 |
| 07-08 02:38 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-06 05:42 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 05:41 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3799999964 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 05:40 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0722200769 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 00:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 00:42 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 00:41 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0652104496 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 00:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 00:38 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 10:18 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |