0x0F7EBA5024E19F490d40Be08895fC7983562063f-1767859554939
0x0f7eba5024e19f490d40be08895fc7983562063f
- Realised P&L
- $975.62
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $16.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$949.00at 0.999Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$525.49at 0.955US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
- +$400.31at 0.975US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
- +$376.41at 0.979US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
- +$331.26at 0.965Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 17:55 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 07:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.82 | $410.00 |
| 05-13 02:48 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9961599584 | $6.6k |
| 04-27 16:34 | Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.9988164501 | $6.0k |
| 04-18 14:12 | Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $192.03 |
| 04-16 15:08 | Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.9914668821 | $613.72 |
| 04-06 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 6? | SELL | 0.507 | $8.25 |
| 04-05 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 5? | SELL | 0.3643680839 | $6.26 |
| 04-05 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 5? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.06 |
| 04-03 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on April 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $48.90 |
| 04-03 01:55 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.0k |
| 04-01 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 1? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.39 |
| 04-01 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 1? | BUY | 0.67 | $22.62 |
| 03-30 07:09 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? | SELL | 0.025 | $2.73 |
| 03-30 06:51 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.81 |