FoolingAround
0x0f4f411de06dcf9d78eae51ae76852ff0a4c7039
- Realised P&L
- $7.2k
- Volume
- $92.5k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.426Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.150Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.651Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
- +$681.08at 0.537Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?
- +$485.31at 0.726Will Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3099999997 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $6.28 |
| 09-17 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999956 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 22:21 | Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura Samson | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 09-17 22:19 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska | BUY | 0.649999997 | $44.00 |
| 09-17 22:18 | Steelers vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.6899999994 | $55.00 |
| 09-06 22:26 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2925195369 | $222.00 |
| 08-28 23:48 | Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.7951614814 | $335.58 |
| 08-23 22:55 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.6328481143 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 22:54 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.7674444098 | $200.00 |
| 08-23 22:53 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.4099999979 | $88.00 |