PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FoolingAround

0x0f4f411de06dcf9d78eae51ae76852ff0a4c7039

Realised P&L
$7.2k
Volume
$92.5k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$7.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · No0.7780.935$1.9k+$322.26
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · No0.4570.745$1.1k+$440.64
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6950.515$807.74$282.26
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30? · No0.7700.935$643.33+$113.49
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · No0.6550.765$538.16+$77.73
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8340.895$536.73+$36.73
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.795$484.76$15.24
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.6450.655$338.16+$5.16
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · No0.4500.465$297.68+$9.68
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.6430.585$274.95$27.53
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2920.275$208.70$13.30
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.3820.145$178.60$292.39
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? · No0.5280.405$85.06$25.94
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska · Nadia Podoroska0.6501.000$67.66+$23.66
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? · No0.4440.145$57.79$119.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-17 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.3099999997$11.00
09-17 22:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSELL0.49$6.28
09-17 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-17 22:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.6599999979$25.00
09-17 22:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-17 22:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.7899999956$25.00
09-17 22:21Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Laura SamsonBUY0.55$55.00
09-17 22:19Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia PodoroskaBUY0.649999997$44.00
09-17 22:18Steelers vs. PatriotsBUY0.6899999994$55.00
09-06 22:26Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2925195369$222.00
08-28 23:48Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?SELL0.7951614814$335.58
08-23 22:55Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.6328481143$50.00
08-23 22:54Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?BUY0.7674444098$200.00
08-23 22:53Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.4099999979$88.00