MrVent
0x0f49b1e700c0a0fea53fba1b425edd919e5ba430
- Realised P&L
- $-85.93
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $38.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.310Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
- +$9.99at 0.330US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$8.61at 0.265U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
- +$6.14at 0.099Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?
- +$4.14at 0.793Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 7? | BUY | 0.9979999927 | $23.66 |
| 03-07 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.79 |
| 03-06 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6? | BUY | 0.9979999847 | $27.59 |
| 02-25 10:40 | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999988 | $7.19 |
| 02-25 10:40 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999833 | $6.18 |
| 02-25 10:40 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899998608 | $5.50 |
| 02-25 10:39 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.17 |
| 02-25 10:38 | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.966999953 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 15:07 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $22.62 |
| 02-21 01:07 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.174 | $9.16 |
| 02-20 12:51 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 02-20 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $38.80 |
| 02-19 02:11 | Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-02-18? | BUY | 0.8899999661 | $2.36 |
| 02-19 01:54 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $5.00 |
| 02-17 23:57 | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $5.00 |