PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MrVent

0x0f49b1e700c0a0fea53fba1b425edd919e5ba430

Realised P&L
$-85.93
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$38.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.8200.952$19.03+$2.63
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7601.000$13.18+$3.16
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · Yes0.2200.086$4.29$6.71
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.4800.240$1.20$1.20
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2800.012$0.43$9.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00$27.71
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8900.000$0.00$5.50
Will Brazil’s unemployment rate for November–January 2026 be 5.3%? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.05
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$1.30
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? · No0.7900.000$0.00$8.66
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.5800.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$34.55
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · No0.8600.000$0.00$6.18
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$2.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-07 07:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 7?BUY0.9979999927$23.66
03-07 07:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 7?BUY0.996$3.79
03-06 14:20Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?BUY0.9979999847$27.59
02-25 10:40US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?BUY0.8299999988$7.19
02-25 10:40US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY0.8599999833$6.18
02-25 10:40US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.8899998608$5.50
02-25 10:39US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?BUY0.94$5.17
02-25 10:38US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?BUY0.966999953$5.00
02-22 15:07US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?BUY0.984$22.62
02-21 01:07Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.174$9.16
02-20 12:51US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
02-20 02:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?BUY0.97$38.80
02-19 02:11Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-02-18?BUY0.8899999661$2.36
02-19 01:54US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.945$5.00
02-17 23:57US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?BUY0.987$5.00
Trader MrVent · PolyBot