0x0f3d96ca53D7eb53d1E9099457317166B7AEd6A5-1766911138923
0x0f3d96ca53d7eb53d1e9099457317166b7aed6a5
- Realised P&L
- $-13.3k
- Volume
- $261.4k
- Markets traded
- 225
- Open portfolio
- $937.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded225
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.456Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.537Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.526Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.389Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.272Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:29 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.14 |
| 07-31 15:29 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 07-30 11:23 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.774 | $41.02 |
| 07-11 16:16 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $72.60 |
| 07-05 01:29 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $96.64 |
| 07-02 00:50 | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? | BUY | 0.39 | $43.70 |
| 07-02 00:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $89.01 |
| 07-01 15:41 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $31.50 |
| 06-24 14:17 | Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 06-24 14:17 | Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? | BUY | 0.67 | $7.11 |
| 06-23 13:54 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 04-23 11:26 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $20.33 |
| 04-22 13:19 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? | BUY | 0.2230190562 | $100.00 |
| 04-20 12:45 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 04-20 12:43 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.06 |