PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0f3d96ca53D7eb53d1E9099457317166B7AEd6A5-1766911138923

0x0f3d96ca53d7eb53d1e9099457317166b7aed6a5

Realised P&L
$-13.3k
Volume
$261.4k
Markets traded
225
Open portfolio
$937.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded225
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5320.165$900.68$2.0k
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.7740.255$26.98$55.07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.954$4.77+$0.22
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.2600.140$4.62$3.96
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026? · No0.6000.000$0.00$72.60
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.1750.000$0.00$175.00
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$21.13
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 14, 11PM ET · Up0.0830.000$0.00$33.76
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.2260.000$0.00$867.91
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.0710.000$0.00$95.62
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00$1.9k
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.2480.000$0.00$885.85
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$0.48
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.1050.000$0.00$310.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.5030.000$0.00$283.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 15:29Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.69$4.14
07-31 15:29Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.7$10.50
07-30 11:23Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.774$41.02
07-11 16:16Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?BUY0.6$72.60
07-05 01:29Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.78$96.64
07-02 00:50Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?BUY0.39$43.70
07-02 00:36Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?SELL0.999$89.01
07-01 15:41Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.35$31.50
06-24 14:17Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?BUY0.68$13.60
06-24 14:17Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?BUY0.67$7.11
06-23 13:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.91$4.55
04-23 11:26Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?SELL0.89$20.33
04-22 13:19DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?BUY0.2230190562$100.00
04-20 12:45DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
04-20 12:43Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.4$5.06