mtb84
0x0ef8f30edbed59b6560567c519d88f62209d059b
- Realised P&L
- $41.69
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? · No | 0.935 | 0.979 | $481.79 | +$21.79 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No | 0.820 | 0.875 | $320.12 | +$20.12 |
| Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30? · No | 0.979 | 0.983 | $245.76 | +$0.76 |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.905 | $212.94 | +$12.94 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.870 | $174.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.915 | $156.27 | +$4.27 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · No | 0.924 | 0.875 | $120.76 | −$6.74 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 08:03 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | SELL | 0.8648834754 | $114.67 |
| 09-13 07:56 | Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30? | BUY | 0.9794802758 | $245.00 |
| 09-13 07:53 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $152.00 |
| 09-13 07:44 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 09-13 07:37 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-13 07:30 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? | BUY | 0.9419930586 | $200.00 |
| 09-12 09:38 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.9238568931 | $250.00 |
| 09-10 09:24 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 09-10 09:24 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? | BUY | 0.9295861481 | $250.00 |
| 09-10 09:20 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |