PolyBot

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Traders

mtb84

0x0ef8f30edbed59b6560567c519d88f62209d059b

Realised P&L
$41.69
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? · No0.9350.979$481.79+$21.79
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.8200.875$320.12+$20.12
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30? · No0.9790.983$245.76+$0.76
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.905$212.94+$12.94
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8800.870$174.00$2.00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · No0.8900.915$156.27+$4.27
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · No0.9240.875$120.76$6.74

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 08:03Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?SELL0.8648834754$114.67
09-13 07:56Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?BUY0.9794802758$245.00
09-13 07:53Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.8899999999$152.00
09-13 07:44Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.88$176.00
09-13 07:37Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.819999999$300.00
09-13 07:30Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?BUY0.9419930586$200.00
09-12 09:38Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.9238568931$250.00
09-10 09:24Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999998$200.00
09-10 09:24Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?BUY0.9295861481$250.00
09-10 09:20Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?BUY0.9199999963$10.00