josephHFT
0x0eefcdac146fc162c3bca387fb2ae2ebae4f02c0
- Realised P&L
- $8.33
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $154.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.10at 0.634Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$10.95at 0.321O/U 1.5 Rounds
- +$10.15at 0.330US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$6.67at 0.750Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$5.00at 0.500Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 13:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 18:54 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.31 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 08:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 11:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 16:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.47 |
| 07-15 16:39 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.16 |
| 04-11 00:15 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.6339999965 | $60.80 |
| 04-02 00:52 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.9829999996 | $33.58 |
| 03-22 01:12 | Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.77 |
| 03-21 20:46 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 03-21 16:26 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.96 |
| 03-21 16:26 | Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $4.95 |
| 03-21 15:59 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.00 |
| 03-21 05:50 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.00 |
| 03-21 05:47 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.25 |