yarw
0x0ed7feeedb0dba6a77d2ce1bc9f2db4a7c6aa702
- Realised P&L
- $-12.81
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $85.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.53at 0.145Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$40.11at 0.102Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
- +$38.33at 0.287Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$28.13at 0.190Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$14.37at 0.575Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 08:55 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.27 |
| 10-18 08:55 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.627 | $4.20 |
| 10-18 02:38 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.518 | $15.53 |
| 10-17 10:12 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.32 |
| 10-16 20:17 | Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.604 | $4.23 |
| 10-16 19:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.98 |
| 10-12 17:13 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.32 |
| 10-08 16:25 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.54 |
| 10-08 13:36 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.15 |
| 10-06 11:09 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.60 |
| 10-06 11:01 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.36 |
| 10-06 10:06 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.48 |
| 09-27 09:38 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.19 |
| 09-27 09:36 | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0572409091 | $1.26 |
| 09-27 09:35 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.72 |