PolyBot

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Traders

yarw

0x0ed7feeedb0dba6a77d2ce1bc9f2db4a7c6aa702

Realised P&L
$-12.81
Volume
$15.1k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$85.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · No0.4080.910$40.44+$22.32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6470.935$26.44+$8.14
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6040.573$4.01−$0.22
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4400.400$3.88−$0.39
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6270.571$3.82−$0.38
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1100.129$3.55+$0.52
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3500.305$2.90−$0.43
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.1970.000$0.00−$12.40
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? · No0.1860.000$0.00−$5.11
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · No0.0540.000$0.00−$5.18
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No0.2240.000$0.00−$11.64
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$2.72
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No0.0640.000$0.00−$1.92
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$1.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 08:55Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?BUY0.44$4.27
10-18 08:55Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.627$4.20
10-18 02:38Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?SELL0.518$15.53
10-17 10:12Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?BUY0.35$3.32
10-16 20:17Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.604$4.23
10-16 19:59Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.998$11.98
10-12 17:13Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.023$0.32
10-08 16:25Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?SELL0.11$0.54
10-08 13:36Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?BUY0.64$3.15
10-06 11:09Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.24$3.60
10-06 11:01Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.24$3.36
10-06 10:06Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.29$3.48
09-27 09:38Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?BUY0.16$1.19
09-27 09:36Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.0572409091$1.26
09-27 09:35Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$2.72