PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

market.insider

0x0ed4b4bf6ca8794aedac734daeac371675ae03d8

Realised P&L
$-958.98
Volume
$144.9k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$531.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0620.043$531.65$243.08
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00$28.92
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$7.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.6800.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 3? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$120.45
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2? · No0.3700.000$0.00$21.63
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$6.21
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? · No0.0130.000$0.00$5.00
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1? · No0.3660.000$0.00$59.33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 24? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
Hawks vs. Pacers · Pacers0.4600.000$0.00$6.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.2640.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 10:36Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.046999999$43.55
08-28 22:33Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.046$79.61
08-28 22:30Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.046$53.25
08-24 23:45Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0469999993$64.64
08-17 19:18Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0488723177$400.00
06-04 21:46Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999987$7.00
06-04 21:46Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?SELL0.0100271087$7.40
06-04 21:44Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999991$10.00
06-04 21:44Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999991$10.00
06-04 21:43Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.073$22.88
05-30 19:22Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999989$8.00
05-30 19:21Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999982$5.00
05-30 19:19Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.0114641644$5.67
05-30 19:18Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?SELL0.012$8.85
05-27 10:49Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?BUY0.0332776561$12.40