yindong
0x0ebc908547f7750ed2e55ae5c7e43debfd003b23
- Realised P&L
- $-49.97
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $11.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.035 | $8.87 | −$23.77 |
| Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.018 | $1.11 | −$4.29 |
| Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.006 | $0.26 | −$0.82 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.81 |
| Spain leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.11 |
| Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.60at 0.590Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$15.20at 0.240Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$10.35at 0.482Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$9.50at 0.810Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.80at 0.490Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 12:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.14 |
| 09-11 12:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $14.40 |
| 08-28 13:25 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.40 |
| 08-03 16:16 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 07-19 21:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3909999957 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 20:38 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 07-19 19:54 | Spain leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 12:19 | Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | SELL | 0.0135162166 | $1.89 |
| 07-19 12:19 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.408 | $93.84 |
| 07-15 19:28 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 02-20 07:42 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $9.79 |