PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ocene

0x0eac23578a5066ad4885e3c40161746df2ed140a

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$332.8k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3600.285$1.1k−$300.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0800.055$825.00−$375.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.2630.028$56.00−$470.84
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · Yes0.1200.044$11.13−$18.88
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0040.003$5.05−$3.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 17:11Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.36$1.4k
10-06 17:10Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.08$1.2k
07-23 08:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?BUY0.05$10.00
06-30 20:21Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.218$218.00
06-30 10:07Iran leadership change by June 30?SELL0.001$4.00
06-30 10:06Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.001$3.04
06-30 10:05Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.002$2.56
06-30 10:05Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.002$0.02
06-22 01:51Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.01$10.36
06-19 23:03Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.014$70.00
06-19 02:03Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$40.00
06-16 05:17Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.3086853397$155.39
06-11 11:46Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?SELL0.08$255.26
06-11 08:41Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?SELL0.09$176.34
06-08 10:07Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.071$28.40