ocene
0x0eac23578a5066ad4885e3c40161746df2ed140a
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $314.9k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.755 | $3.8k | +$1.5k |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.263 | 0.046 | $93.00 | −$433.84 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.045 | $11.25 | −$18.75 |
| Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $5.05 | −$3.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.395Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.037US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$954.32at 0.493Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$745.02at 0.359Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
- +$266.39at 0.027Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 08:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 20:21 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.218 | $218.00 |
| 06-30 10:07 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 06-30 10:06 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.04 |
| 06-30 10:05 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.56 |
| 06-30 10:05 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 06-22 01:51 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.36 |
| 06-19 23:03 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $70.00 |
| 06-19 02:03 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $40.00 |
| 06-16 05:17 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.3086853397 | $155.39 |
| 06-11 11:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | SELL | 0.08 | $255.26 |
| 06-11 08:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | SELL | 0.09 | $176.34 |
| 06-08 10:07 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.071 | $28.40 |
| 06-08 09:02 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.054 | $108.00 |
| 06-02 08:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | BUY | 0.025 | $128.75 |