GDragons
0x0e94bbc7c993a2bc7d99d7ca6e07a837ec09ffbf
- Realised P&L
- $-117.45
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $11.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.78at 0.288Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$7.02at 0.129Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
- +$3.70at 0.630Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.66at 0.384Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$1.59at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:45 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.77 |
| 09-21 01:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969997799 | $1.73 |
| 09-20 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.67 |
| 09-18 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.65 |
| 09-16 01:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 09-15 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9989998692 | $5.30 |
| 09-14 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.65 |
| 09-11 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.9969999994 | $1.80 |
| 09-10 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 09-09 01:44 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 01:40 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.8789999957 | $6.89 |
| 09-07 01:47 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9269999967 | $11.94 |
| 09-04 01:43 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |