thefuture5
0x0e5733420f89c04ea8723da295908b58da900721
- Realised P&L
- $-30.75
- Volume
- $804.32
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $16.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.365 | $6.08 | +$1.08 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.146 | $5.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.134 | $4.22 | −$0.78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Down | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.63at 0.259Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-16?
- +$5.33at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$2.30at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$0.79at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$0.33at 0.868Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:21 | Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.14 |
| 09-17 20:11 | Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:24 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 09-17 19:05 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 18:15 | Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 17:38 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.1269999992 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 07:15 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:59 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1579999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:52 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.0489999997 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999659 | $4.00 |
| 06-03 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $1.29 |
| 06-03 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |