0xaFee0955d1CB5b01F29a222913D8640d38ec096F-1777010411291
0x0e5662fdfa8d18e5dcae8481e7129142949f3218
- Realised P&L
- $133.05
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $877.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.57at 0.596Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$59.70at 0.750Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$48.83at 0.674Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$23.33at 0.300Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?
- +$7.53at 0.930US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 17:04 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 12:04 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.899999982 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 12:03 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 12:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 11:59 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6674423504 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 11:55 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.983 | $166.88 |
| 09-17 11:52 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 07:17 | Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 07:16 | Will Trump praise Dana White in September? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 07:15 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 07:44 | Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 07:41 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2052426405 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 07:37 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 07:24 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |