PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaFee0955d1CB5b01F29a222913D8640d38ec096F-1777010411291

0x0e5662fdfa8d18e5dcae8481e7129142949f3218

Realised P&L
$133.05
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$877.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.972$213.52+$13.52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.983$110.45+$10.45
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.9000.972$107.94+$7.94
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8000.850$106.25+$6.25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · No0.6300.940$74.56+$24.56
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · No0.9000.984$54.64+$4.64
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.9200.925$50.27+$0.27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.2370.101$42.30−$57.70
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.5000.920$36.80+$16.80
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.9000.915$30.50+$0.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.825$19.88−$0.12
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? · Yes0.6000.535$17.83−$2.17
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.4900.300$12.24−$7.76
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · No0.2050.000$0.00−$10.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 17:04Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?BUY0.599999994$20.00
10-12 12:04US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.899999982$30.00
10-12 12:03US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.2599999964$10.00
10-12 12:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999842$20.00
10-12 11:59Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6674423504$100.00
10-12 11:55Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.983$166.88
09-17 11:52Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.6299999982$50.00
08-27 07:17Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?BUY0.299999982$10.00
08-27 07:16Will Trump praise Dana White in September?BUY0.9$10.00
08-27 07:15Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.4899999939$20.00
08-04 07:44Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8$100.00
08-04 07:41US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.9$100.00
08-04 07:40Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2052426405$10.00
08-04 07:37Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.5$20.00
08-04 07:24Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.3299999922$20.00