PolyBot

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Traders

pibeibei

0x0e4d7b5f78619877a4527b82f8247e724a18ebfd

Realised P&L
$-0.72
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$14.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9991.000$11.90+$0.01
Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.730$2.21−$0.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 16? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Kraken vs. Utah · Kraken0.3900.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 11:41Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$11.90
10-18 11:38Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7399997621$2.24
09-21 14:19Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.996$12.10
09-21 14:17Giants vs. RamsBUY0.7399998816$1.50
08-26 13:58Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?BUY0.999$13.60
07-23 10:34Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9969999999$13.50
05-30 03:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?BUY0.999$120.00
05-28 10:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?BUY0.998$120.00
05-28 10:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?BUY0.002$2.10
05-28 10:35Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?BUY0.999$22.00
05-23 09:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?BUY0.9979999941$144.00
05-13 10:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?BUY0.999$144.00
05-08 13:52Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?BUY0.998999994$142.00
05-01 06:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?BUY0.998999994$143.00
04-21 06:51Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?BUY0.999$143.99