PolyBot

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Traders

papayonci

0x0e4569f1ae964add0ae95ae26e0a968e4bb7ae93

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$793.9k
Markets traded
733
Open portfolio
$938.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded733
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2520.065$342.72$987.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4370.125$85.07$212.33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4600.605$60.26+$14.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1950.035$34.56$160.89
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.550$34.38$15.63
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1950.037$32.80$137.40
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4970.050$30.17$269.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.185$29.06$54.20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.505$28.58$1.42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9400.815$26.01$3.99
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3580.044$16.32$115.01
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0700.075$16.07+$1.07
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8930.990$11.08+$1.08
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? · No0.9200.968$10.52+$0.52
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9600.997$10.39+$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 09:57Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9882908024$200.00
05-13 20:34Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.939999985$30.00
05-13 20:34Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.9509999981$20.00
05-13 20:34Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.8739036354$50.00
05-04 11:08Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999997$500.00
04-22 23:03Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.44$209.29
04-22 23:02Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.53$83.26
04-22 23:02Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.43$88.12
04-22 23:01Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$113.59
04-14 20:54Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.2299999931$19.08
04-14 20:53Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.22$1.05
04-11 10:28Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.9$18.00
04-11 10:27Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.79$15.80
04-11 10:27Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.72$14.51
03-21 12:24Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8799999965$20.00