papayonci
0x0e4569f1ae964add0ae95ae26e0a968e4bb7ae93
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $793.9k
- Markets traded
- 733
- Open portfolio
- $938.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded733
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.290Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
- +$1.5kat 0.969Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$850.26at 0.272Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
- +$778.50at 0.880Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
- +$702.01at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:57 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9882908024 | $200.00 |
| 05-13 20:34 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.939999985 | $30.00 |
| 05-13 20:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.9509999981 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 20:34 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.8739036354 | $50.00 |
| 05-04 11:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999997 | $500.00 |
| 04-22 23:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $209.29 |
| 04-22 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $83.26 |
| 04-22 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $88.12 |
| 04-22 23:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $113.59 |
| 04-14 20:54 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $19.08 |
| 04-14 20:53 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.05 |
| 04-11 10:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 04-11 10:27 | Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 04-11 10:27 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.51 |
| 03-21 12:24 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |