jt931
0x0e2c99be468dc98af2b491902ae2d5268b6ca8bd
- Realised P&L
- $49.18
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $32.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.82at 0.057Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?
- +$46.29at 0.061Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?
- +$13.08at 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$6.80at 0.184Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$2.34at 0.460Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 05:34 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 02:47 | Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.027430301 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 02:46 | Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0618028484 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 20:49 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.148 | $5.21 |
| 10-28 20:47 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 09:27 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999994 | $7.00 |
| 10-27 09:26 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1419999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 09:11 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.0559440559 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 09:10 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0117177201 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 09:01 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.260999988 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 09:01 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0865878413 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 21:29 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 21:21 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0401001773 | $2.50 |
| 10-26 21:20 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0337301583 | $2.50 |
| 10-26 14:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |