0x0dfd9BA937CF74fCdB7F542AD9E65858C126F132-1786074019306
0x0dfd9ba937cf74fcdb7f542ad9e65858c126f132
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.905 | $2.7k | +$15.06 |
| Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5) · largadosypelados | 0.720 | 0.805 | $4.03 | +$0.42 |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · G2 Esports | 0.540 | 0.535 | $3.83 | −$0.04 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · Team Falcons | 0.450 | 0.445 | $3.81 | −$0.04 |
| Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · LOUD | 0.430 | 0.425 | $3.81 | −$0.04 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · MOUZ | 0.600 | 0.585 | $3.78 | −$0.10 |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · 1WIN | 0.330 | 0.295 | $2.89 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.584Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$782.59at 0.649Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?
- +$173.75at 0.725North Texas vs. Tulsa
- +$155.98at 0.774Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
- +$30.67at 0.721Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:19 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.5399999749 | $3.87 |
| 10-08 17:19 | Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999698 | $3.85 |
| 10-08 13:18 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.5999999691 | $3.88 |
| 10-08 09:18 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.4499999766 | $3.85 |
| 10-08 05:16 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.3299999928 | $3.23 |
| 10-08 04:45 | Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 10-08 04:45 | Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 10-08 01:25 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.6899999894 | $3.90 |
| 10-07 21:15 | LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.1699999988 | $2.85 |
| 10-07 17:18 | LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $2.86 |
| 10-07 13:18 | Counter-Strike: K27 vs Metizport (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $3.12 |
| 10-07 09:16 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.3399999959 | $3.32 |
| 10-07 05:16 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.26 | $2.86 |
| 10-07 01:16 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.5399999749 | $3.87 |
| 10-06 21:18 | LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.5999999691 | $3.88 |