PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OddsOptimizer099

0x0de64db2ebe159257b523c5525f8d04a045e9933

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$190.0k
Markets traded
306
Open portfolio
$327.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded306
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in October? · Yes0.7000.750$150.00+$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · Yes0.7000.695$139.00−$1.00
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0290.017$38.02−$28.53
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$34.00
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.72
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.72
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.7360.000$0.00−$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.72
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$51.00
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 06:55Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.998$299.40
09-09 01:20Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.987$197.40
09-09 01:11Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.921$92.10
09-03 05:02Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.995$199.00
08-30 04:08Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.972$194.40
08-29 03:30Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.949$189.80
08-26 03:31Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.98128$196.26
08-25 04:11Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?BUY0.976$210.40
08-24 14:06Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?SELL0.999$99.90
08-24 04:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?BUY0.977$195.40
08-23 10:38Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.989$218.57
08-21 09:43Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.988$197.60
08-21 03:23Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.9025854922$174.20
08-18 03:44Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.3141$31.41
08-16 03:07Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.27$27.00