OddsOptimizer099
0x0de64db2ebe159257b523c5525f8d04a045e9933
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $190.0k
- Markets traded
- 306
- Open portfolio
- $327.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded306
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.32at 0.253Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$98.41at 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$94.45at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$94.00at 0.553Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
- +$90.75at 0.092Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 06:55 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 09-09 01:20 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $197.40 |
| 09-09 01:11 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.921 | $92.10 |
| 09-03 05:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 08-30 04:08 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $194.40 |
| 08-29 03:30 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $189.80 |
| 08-26 03:31 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.98128 | $196.26 |
| 08-25 04:11 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $210.40 |
| 08-24 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-24 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.977 | $195.40 |
| 08-23 10:38 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $218.57 |
| 08-21 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $197.60 |
| 08-21 03:23 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9025854922 | $174.20 |
| 08-18 03:44 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.3141 | $31.41 |
| 08-16 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |