OddsOptimizer099
0x0de64db2ebe159257b523c5525f8d04a045e9933
- Realised P&L
- $-752.23
- Volume
- $165.8k
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $651.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.82at 0.246Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$98.46at 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$96.15at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$91.00at 0.090Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?
- +$84.00at 0.160Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.977679868 | $296.24 |
| 08-05 08:11 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.03 |
| 08-05 08:08 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $195.20 |
| 08-02 07:16 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.05295 | $10.59 |
| 08-02 07:15 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 08-02 07:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $68.00 |
| 08-02 03:39 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 08-02 02:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9419615385 | $293.89 |
| 08-01 06:11 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $300.47 |
| 07-31 05:03 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9486710671 | $292.48 |
| 07-31 05:02 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0518559 | $10.37 |
| 07-30 12:53 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.434 | $43.40 |
| 07-30 12:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.392 | $39.20 |
| 07-30 03:49 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 07-29 04:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |