PolyBot

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Traders

0x0dcbf92cb8518b02875ee2afa551b42330899587

Realised P&L
$-7.75
Volume
$99.22
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$8.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.2400.265$2.21+$0.21
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.7600.675$1.78$0.22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.465$1.42$0.11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2500.145$1.16$0.84
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.6000.300$1.00$1.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2400.085$0.71$1.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 18:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-04 10:16Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
08-04 02:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.25$2.00
08-02 18:06Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.7249999819$2.00
08-02 09:03Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-02 00:35Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.59999994$2.00
08-01 16:30Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 04:33Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.00
07-31 20:32Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 20:30Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6$1.83
07-31 12:28Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?BUY0.48$1.80
07-28 23:45Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.394999845$1.30
07-28 13:28Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999626$1.53
07-28 01:43Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?BUY0.5579998759$1.96
07-27 17:05Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?BUY0.5499999298$1.96
Trader 0x0dcb…9587 · PolyBot