0x0da7450b1bec0fa27446a0442451fb01dcb778d7
0x0da7450b1bec0fa27446a0442451fb01dcb778d7
- Realised P&L
- $-0.81
- Volume
- $242.00
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $3.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.275 | $3.02 | +$1.55 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in October 2026? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.049 | $0.69 | −$0.38 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.89at 0.206Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?
- +$-0.64at 0.012Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:19 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? | BUY | 0.134 | $1.47 |
| 10-29 15:21 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%? | SELL | 0.383 | $1.92 |
| 10-26 14:02 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.206 | $1.03 |
| 10-26 14:02 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in October 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $0.38 |
| 10-26 14:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.06 |
| 10-25 10:10 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |