ChopChopDrop
0x0d98bc45bd20e669631521cca23cdf3e7c2a706b
- Realised P&L
- $-57.42
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $5.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.74at 0.672Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
- +$6.41at 0.135Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$5.54at 0.833Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$3.35at 0.230US bank failure by March 31?
- +$3.33at 0.200Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 07:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:32 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:06 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 18:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5779999353 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:58 | Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 08:19 | World Cup Final: Weather Delay? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.67 |
| 07-18 23:40 | World Cup Final: Weather Delay? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974998193 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:30 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 15:24 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 15:23 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7689998916 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 15:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819997765 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 17:38 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 17:38 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |