PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChopChopDrop

0x0d98bc45bd20e669631521cca23cdf3e7c2a706b

Realised P&L
$-57.42
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$5.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5780.842$1.46+$0.46
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? · No0.7700.855$1.11+$0.11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.675$1.04+$0.04
Maduro guilty of all counts? · No0.7300.660$0.90−$0.10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7200.635$0.88−$0.12
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.4800.085$0.18−$0.82
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.5500.040$0.07−$0.93
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? · No0.6240.000$0.00−$62.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.7690.000$0.00−$1.00
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.6650.000$0.00−$2.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? · No0.2120.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 07:34Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-04 07:32Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-22 12:06Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-20 18:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5779999353$1.00
09-20 16:58Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.649999805$1.00
07-19 08:19World Cup Final: Weather Delay?SELL0.04$0.67
07-18 23:40World Cup Final: Weather Delay?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-18 19:30Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974998193$1.00
07-18 19:30France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6799998912$1.00
07-16 15:24France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.65$1.00
07-16 15:23Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7689998916$1.00
07-16 15:01Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-15 06:05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819997765$1.00
07-14 17:38England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-14 17:38England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5099998317$1.00