PolyBot

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Traders

troawa

0x0d95b039947554869d79f7a11a9171e1b38fd4be

Realised P&L
$-582.97
Volume
$39.1k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$440.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · No0.6500.865$112.45+$27.95
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.895$89.50+$25.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4210.547$65.70+$15.18
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · Yes0.3200.285$57.00$7.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1370.029$42.75$163.33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2000.040$31.60$128.40
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.025$26.77$91.29
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.025$14.70$69.30
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · No0.5200.000$0.00$52.00
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$42.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 22:12Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.004$0.02
04-01 14:12US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.37$37.00
04-01 07:06US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.38$38.00
03-29 21:57US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.31$31.00
03-26 08:33US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.41$164.00
03-23 17:56Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?SELL0.999$555.88
03-22 21:51Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?SELL0.43$136.46
02-25 21:38Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL0.027$20.25
02-25 21:38Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL0.028$7.00
02-19 16:11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.49$98.00
02-19 11:24Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.55$82.88
02-06 10:20US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? BUY0.022$9.44
02-05 07:43US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? BUY0.06$36.00
02-03 18:04US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.58$174.00
02-03 18:03US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?SELL0.86$47.30