PolyBot

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Traders

0x0D6283aC745742D954c972400D417a3AC03727e

0x0d6283ac745742d954c972400d417a3ac03727e0

Realised P&L
$16.9k
Volume
$545.8k
Markets traded
420
Open portfolio
$10.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded420
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.5660.735$1.5k+$338.45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3500.715$1.1k+$547.50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3400.715$720.72+$378.24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.3740.925$691.15+$411.71
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.4690.850$680.00+$304.82
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.3960.865$518.98+$281.24
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6800.825$495.00+$87.00
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2250.815$489.00+$354.00
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8020.454$453.50−$348.50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3620.715$435.25+$215.08
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.5800.968$387.00+$155.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.705$352.49+$197.49
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · No0.5620.955$349.23+$143.57
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6700.981$343.35+$108.85
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1300.895$268.50+$229.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:06Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$3.9k
09-21 09:06Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.998$68.96
07-13 18:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.21$210.00
07-03 18:34Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?BUY0.91$1.3k
06-25 09:14Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.973$194.60
06-25 09:13Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?BUY0.983$294.90
06-25 08:59Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.913$7.48
06-25 08:57Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.59$2.4k
06-15 15:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? BUY0.79$39.37
04-30 20:16US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.995$199.00
04-30 20:15US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.995$497.50
04-30 20:14Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.998$199.60
04-15 18:47Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?SELL0.71$74.48
04-15 18:44Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.76$759.98
04-15 18:43Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?SELL0.78$124.80