0x0D6283aC745742D954c972400D417a3AC03727e
0x0d6283ac745742d954c972400d417a3ac03727e0
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $530.7k
- Markets traded
- 417
- Open portfolio
- $23.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded417
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.695Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
- +$1.8kat 0.638Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.845Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.005Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.409Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 18:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 07-03 18:34 | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.3k |
| 06-25 09:14 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.973 | $194.60 |
| 06-25 09:13 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26? | BUY | 0.983 | $294.90 |
| 06-25 08:59 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.913 | $7.48 |
| 06-25 08:57 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.4k |
| 06-15 15:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.37 |
| 04-30 20:16 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 04-30 20:15 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $497.50 |
| 04-30 20:14 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 04-15 18:47 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $74.48 |
| 04-15 18:44 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $759.98 |
| 04-15 18:43 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.78 | $124.80 |
| 04-15 18:41 | Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 04-15 18:40 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.87 | $70.57 |