lalalalend00
0x0d4b3d245c7ea74a801a9a7ff1e60cc8175919cf
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $67.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.55 | −$0.27 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.957 | $14.35 | +$0.25 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · No | 0.952 | 0.945 | $4.03 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.280Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?
- +$710.05at 0.450Mets vs. Red Sox
- +$557.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?
- +$504.21at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?
- +$489.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-29 13:38 | Ethereum Up or Down on December 29? | BUY | 0.39 | $622.86 |
| 08-19 12:40 | Athletics vs. Twins | BUY | 0.43 | $300.14 |
| 08-14 12:41 | Solana Up or Down on August 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $230.00 |
| 06-20 11:28 | Solana Up or Down on June 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $433.00 |
| 05-30 07:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $524.79 |
| 05-29 07:32 | Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore | BUY | 0.52 | $424.84 |
| 05-22 10:38 | Angels vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.59 | $621.86 |
| 05-20 10:45 | Phillies vs. Rockies | BUY | 0.71 | $712.84 |
| 05-05 12:35 | Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9? | BUY | 0.28 | $700.00 |