0x0d4a98c0b5f2004c95B5Bf2D99abB2cDd99D9210-1761760785824
0x0d4a98c0b5f2004c95b5bf2d99abb2cdd99d9210
- Realised P&L
- $-60.28
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $375.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.979 | $168.62 | +$23.87 |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.649 | 0.735 | $113.19 | +$13.19 |
| Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.725 | $49.43 | −$10.57 |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.453 | 0.500 | $44.18 | +$4.18 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2025-11-13? · Yes | 0.676 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.94at 0.680Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$25.49at 0.837Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.71at 0.382Norway to score first vs. England?
- +$13.51at 0.881Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$12.15at 0.769Spread: England (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 03:51 | Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.8799999988 | $60.00 |
| 10-06 03:51 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6493506494 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 03:50 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.4526790434 | $40.00 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9149999994 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6429999899 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 20:59 | Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7959999882 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6359999966 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 21:28 | Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:27 | Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.86 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 21:26 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 21:23 | Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:22 | Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 21:22 | Norway to score first vs. England? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 21:22 | Spread: England (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9224999994 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 21:19 | Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |