PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0d4a98c0b5f2004c95B5Bf2D99abB2cDd99D9210-1761760785824

0x0d4a98c0b5f2004c95b5bf2d99abb2cdd99d9210

Realised P&L
$-60.28
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$375.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8400.979$168.62+$23.87
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes0.6490.735$113.19+$13.19
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes0.8800.725$49.43−$10.57
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.4530.500$44.18+$4.18
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$15.00
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.8600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2025-11-13? · Yes0.6760.000$0.00−$80.00
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half · No0.9200.000$0.00−$10.00
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 03:51Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?BUY0.8799999988$60.00
10-06 03:51Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?BUY0.6493506494$100.00
10-06 03:50Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.4526790434$40.00
07-19 21:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9149999994$100.00
07-19 21:00Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?BUY0.6429999899$20.00
07-19 20:59Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7959999882$10.00
07-19 20:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6359999966$30.00
07-11 21:28Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
07-11 21:27Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5BUY0.86$10.00
07-11 21:26Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.9199999963$10.00
07-11 21:23Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
07-11 21:22Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5BUY0.6099999994$10.00
07-11 21:22Norway to score first vs. England?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
07-11 21:22Spread: England (-2.5)BUY0.9224999994$100.00
07-11 21:19Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?BUY0.8599999991$20.00