PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

taigod

0x0d23617a8290fadabc08a9efb0d129b608465366

Realised P&L
$5.55
Volume
$25.0k
Markets traded
381
Open portfolio
$75.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded381
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.8080.823$16.46+$0.30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2300.155$6.44$3.12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.077$5.97$23.48
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? · Yes0.2890.283$5.66$0.12
W50 Nanao: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Rinko Matsuda · Rinko Matsuda0.6500.615$4.73$0.27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.055$4.69$18.00
Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.1860.177$3.54$0.18
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? · No0.7040.717$3.25+$0.06
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.0900.095$3.17+$0.17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No0.7200.435$3.02$1.98
W15 Maanshan: Yingqun Sun vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova · Asylzhan Arystanbekova0.7000.700$2.00+$0.00
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw? · No0.8300.825$1.99$0.01
Will Accrington Stanley FC win on 2026-09-26? · No0.7200.715$1.99$0.01
St. Tropez: David Jorda Sanchis vs Harry Wendelken · Harry Wendelken0.7000.695$1.99$0.01
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw? · No0.8000.795$1.99$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 21:37Will Accrington Stanley FC win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.72$2.00
09-21 21:37Will Philadelphia Union vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?BUY0.83$2.00
09-21 21:36Will Houston Dynamo vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?BUY0.8$2.00
09-21 21:36W15 Maanshan: Yingqun Sun vs Asylzhan ArystanbekovaBUY0.7$2.00
09-21 21:36St. Tropez: David Jorda Sanchis vs Harry WendelkenBUY0.7$2.00
09-21 21:36Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.78$2.00
09-21 21:36Cardinals vs. 49ersBUY0.79$1.99
09-21 21:36Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.85$2.00
09-21 17:11Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.72$5.00
09-21 17:11San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick MaloneyBUY0.7$5.00
09-21 17:11W50 Nanao: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Rinko MatsudaBUY0.65$5.00
09-21 17:11Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana SelekhmetevaBUY0.81$5.00
09-21 11:18Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?SELL0.6$5.08
09-21 11:15Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?SELL0.62$5.27
09-21 07:22Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?SELL0.48$14.40