Trebushev
0x0d13c510c553c7388c733d379a3cd5e297d4a01b
- Realised P&L
- $-76.91
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $477.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.80at 0.403France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$45.00at 0.550Warriors vs. Lakers
- +$42.00at 0.790Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?
- +$35.64at 0.460Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
- +$34.94at 0.463England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.56 |
| 10-16 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.433326 | $43.33 |
| 10-16 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 10-15 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15? | SELL | 0.03 | $6.12 |
| 10-15 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.3889294118 | $39.67 |
| 10-15 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |
| 10-15 00:49 | Pelicans vs. Mavericks | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 10-14 02:34 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 10-14 02:34 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 06-29 06:45 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.86 | $30.10 |
| 06-29 06:42 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.43 | $30.10 |
| 06-29 04:04 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 06-29 04:03 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 06-22 03:56 | Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |