daeman22
0x0d0e4f165f054311b06f1a4d5dfe88ff0a226590
- Realised P&L
- $-46.77
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $38.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.705 | $11.75 | +$0.08 |
| Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting? · No | 0.238 | 0.275 | $9.24 | +$1.24 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · No | 0.190 | 0.175 | $4.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.140 | $4.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.130 | $2.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.013 | $2.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.018 | $1.53 | −$3.47 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.465 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.018 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.87at 0.350Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?
- +$-1.54at 0.169Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
- +$-45.99at 0.041Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 23:18 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0419999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 23:13 | Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting? | BUY | 0.2380952381 | $8.00 |
| 10-30 23:13 | Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? | SELL | 0.1435701275 | $7.09 |
| 10-30 23:12 | Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? | BUY | 0.1619047609 | $8.00 |
| 10-30 23:12 | Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting? | BUY | 0.0589999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 23:12 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 23:07 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0118280634 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 23:07 | Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 23:07 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.08 |
| 10-28 22:04 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 17:35 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.05 |
| 10-21 17:00 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 17:00 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:25 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:16 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |