0x0cd50e59b3ce7850fa19e472ff656534b09371a4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.06
- Volume
- $472.05
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $250.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $99.46 | −$0.54 |
| Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30? · No | 0.740 | 0.755 | $40.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.895 | $39.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.420 | $37.69 | +$2.69 |
| Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? · No | 0.211 | 0.185 | $32.40 | −$4.60 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:47 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.2112946589 | $37.00 |
| 09-18 08:31 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30? | BUY | 0.7399999959 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 08:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999994 | $60.00 |
| 09-18 08:18 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 07:43 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $35.00 |
| 09-18 07:24 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.8999999888 | $40.00 |