PolyBot

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Traders

CloudCactus

0x0c99e528d01b62a2ff9e9982e2913d2e935287cf

Realised P&L
$-31.2k
Volume
$4.09M
Markets traded
1,140
Open portfolio
$9.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,140
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.9190.963$2.4k+$110.17
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8450.950$2.0k+$223.11
Will BSC Young Boys win the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? · Yes0.4140.550$910.59+$224.52
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.3740.215$870.45−$645.78
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1190.115$805.00−$31.94
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.8390.775$547.79−$45.51
Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA? · Yes0.7650.700$496.25−$46.49
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.9310.780$275.71−$53.30
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.040$216.41−$340.63
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7500.825$165.00+$15.00
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.7000.645$119.97−$10.23
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0150.013$67.50−$7.50
Will FC Lugano win the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? · Yes0.2730.395$51.88+$16.05
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0110.010$50.00−$5.00
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1? · No0.0110.036$28.19+$19.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 07:24Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.31$15.50
10-30 12:30Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.3$60.00
10-30 09:31Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.29$4.35
10-30 03:39Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.29$8.70
10-29 10:52Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?BUY0.038$1.15
10-29 10:50Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.29$15.95
10-27 16:33Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.015$75.00
10-26 09:53Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.096$22.18
10-26 09:52Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.096$14.30
10-26 09:52Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.097$48.50
10-26 09:32Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.096$19.78
10-26 09:29Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.096$31.68
10-26 09:26Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.01$20.98
10-26 09:18Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.093$12.28
10-24 07:11Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.38$9.50