PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CloudCactus

0x0c99e528d01b62a2ff9e9982e2913d2e935287cf

Realised P&L
$-25.1k
Volume
$4.04M
Markets traded
1,108
Open portfolio
$15.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,108
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7960.895$5.3k+$585.60
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7780.469$4.7k$3.1k
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · No0.9420.965$2.3k+$54.56
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7650.635$1.2k$252.17
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · No0.8820.903$586.45+$13.82
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0900.085$425.00$25.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2610.218$318.60$61.45
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.9280.835$295.16$32.92
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7500.805$161.00+$11.00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0850.035$54.77$79.96
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9200.955$53.39+$1.93
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0150.029$33.02+$15.80
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? · No0.3880.190$26.97$28.14
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.7800.958$5.70+$1.06
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0220.001$1.15$48.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:24Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.465$46.50
08-02 23:23Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.465$58.13
08-02 23:20Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.465$93.00
08-02 23:16Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.903$27.09
08-02 23:15Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.465$139.50
08-02 23:15Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.465$93.00
08-02 23:14Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.09$450.00
08-02 23:12Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.022$1.53
08-02 22:22Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.465$46.50
08-02 22:21Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.59$29.54
08-02 11:11Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.015$15.00
08-02 11:11Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.014$0.70
08-02 11:04Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.465$23.25
08-02 11:03Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.67$19.42
08-02 11:02Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.66$10.56