PolyBot

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Traders

CloudCactus

0x0c99e528d01b62a2ff9e9982e2913d2e935287cf

Realised P&L
$-25.2k
Volume
$4.12M
Markets traded
1,119
Open portfolio
$18.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,119
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7750.449$4.6k$3.3k
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · No0.9420.973$3.7k+$118.69
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1760.204$2.7k+$379.78
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.9150.935$1.9k+$42.25
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · No0.8580.973$1.7k+$204.95
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8310.870$1.1k+$49.52
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0790.045$720.00$549.72
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.0500.069$320.56+$88.15
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.7170.840$296.92+$43.42
Will BSC Young Boys win the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? · Yes0.4960.490$255.29$3.32
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.7700.795$238.50+$7.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7500.835$167.00+$17.00
Will FC Lugano win the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? · Yes0.2800.215$106.41$32.17
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1720.240$97.42+$27.53
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.7000.805$69.23+$9.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 13:00Will BSC Young Boys win the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?BUY0.41$8.61
09-11 22:05Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.07$28.00
09-10 06:26Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.081$2.51
09-10 06:25Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.08$21.67
09-10 06:19Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.075$3.31
09-09 09:53Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.25$5.00
09-09 09:53Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.24$21.60
09-09 09:45Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.16$3.20
09-09 09:45Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.15$21.89
09-09 09:44Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.14$18.20
09-09 07:57Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.031$14.06
09-09 07:56Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.032$33.06
09-09 07:36Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.119$15.29
09-09 07:35Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.104$20.80
09-09 07:34Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.098$15.47