Spielermann
0x0c935d81782c0fa0192dd5d37df0f6c9f1d7aafa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $109.3k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $792.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.35at 0.110Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
- +$112.99at 0.335China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$96.31at 0.022Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$88.42at 0.908Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
- +$65.00at 0.168US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 09:19 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.92 |
| 09-23 08:51 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.91 |
| 09-23 02:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.09 |
| 09-23 02:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.05 |
| 09-22 18:11 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $13.49 |
| 09-22 12:37 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | SELL | 0.983 | $0.23 |
| 09-21 11:26 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.39 |
| 09-20 17:27 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-20 05:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.72 |
| 09-19 21:47 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.51 |
| 09-19 12:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.63 |
| 09-19 12:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.53 |
| 09-19 06:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.54 |
| 09-19 02:07 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $12.00 |
| 09-19 00:03 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $9.69 |