PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Spielermann

0x0c935d81782c0fa0192dd5d37df0f6c9f1d7aafa

Realised P&L
$-327.71
Volume
$68.1k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6190.725$338.83+$49.31
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.7790.925$236.69+$37.25
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9090.925$182.97+$3.22
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.1090.410$161.19+$118.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1100.175$155.67+$57.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes0.1600.145$92.19$9.54
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · No0.9300.945$85.13+$1.35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.5810.599$84.56+$2.48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2100.210$66.50+$0.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8660.931$27.36+$1.90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0260.032$23.23+$4.22
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.2940.190$18.35$10.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0270.028$17.59+$0.63
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6140.590$15.73$0.65
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2300.225$8.61$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.626$5.16
08-04 18:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.043$1.51
08-04 18:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.043$0.21
08-04 18:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.589$4.63
08-04 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.578$67.49
08-04 17:57Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.37$35.65
08-04 17:04Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.37$6.72
08-04 16:34Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?BUY0.027$16.96
08-04 16:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.045$34.48
08-04 15:11Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.032$6.85
08-04 13:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.051$8.96
08-04 05:45Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.16$33.20
08-04 05:45Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.16$18.48
08-04 05:42Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.16$20.04
08-04 04:32Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?SELL0.033$17.47
Trader Spielermann · PolyBot