Spielermann
0x0c935d81782c0fa0192dd5d37df0f6c9f1d7aafa
- Realised P&L
- $-327.71
- Volume
- $68.1k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.09at 0.021Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$114.13at 0.333China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$59.15at 0.724Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$54.91at 0.980Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$54.07at 0.866Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.626 | $5.16 |
| 08-04 18:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.51 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 18:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.589 | $4.63 |
| 08-04 18:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.578 | $67.49 |
| 08-04 17:57 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $35.65 |
| 08-04 17:04 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $6.72 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.027 | $16.96 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.045 | $34.48 |
| 08-04 15:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.032 | $6.85 |
| 08-04 13:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.051 | $8.96 |
| 08-04 05:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $33.20 |
| 08-04 05:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $18.48 |
| 08-04 05:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.04 |
| 08-04 04:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | SELL | 0.033 | $17.47 |