PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Spielermann

0x0c935d81782c0fa0192dd5d37df0f6c9f1d7aafa

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$109.3k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$792.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.145$78.67+$18.11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8820.935$55.78+$3.14
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9170.930$55.39+$0.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.3050.235$51.08$15.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · No0.3000.285$47.19$2.55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9400.935$38.74$0.21
Iran leadership change by October 31? · No0.9490.964$37.93+$0.58
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2950.270$37.86$3.59
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2100.110$34.83$31.67
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.3400.175$31.63$29.91
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9280.915$28.66$0.40
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.2890.210$22.12$8.38
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.6360.755$19.82+$3.11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.3150.285$18.32$1.94
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3410.325$18.13$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 09:19Iran leadership change by November 30?SELL0.07$6.92
09-23 08:51Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.08$7.91
09-23 02:30Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.92$6.09
09-23 02:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.29$8.05
09-22 18:11US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.82$13.49
09-22 12:37Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?SELL0.983$0.23
09-21 11:26Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 10%-15%?BUY0.78$7.39
09-20 17:27Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.9$4.50
09-20 05:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.3$4.72
09-19 21:47China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.3$6.51
09-19 12:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.31$4.63
09-19 12:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.3$2.53
09-19 06:50NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.28$1.54
09-19 02:07Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.012$12.00
09-19 00:03China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.29$9.69