themacblue
0x0c7874ceb9812644132a982ba5d4535364bbeaa0
- Realised P&L
- $-38.49
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $2.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.46at 0.007Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$5.86at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$4.93at 0.017Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
- +$3.74at 0.413Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$3.30at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:06 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:05 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:05 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:05 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 21:29 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 22:02 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 22:02 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 22:02 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 23:07 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 23:06 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |