0x0c4ba7275beff307882fcf9466dd55b1caadf9e6
- Realised P&L
- $-39.24
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $40.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.926 | $23.76 | +$13.81 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.160 | $8.72 | −$6.04 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $4.06 | −$0.94 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.135 | $2.93 | −$2.07 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.017 | $1.52 | −$3.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.15at 0.311Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?
- +$18.24at 0.530Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6AM ET
- +$15.69at 0.247Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.72at 0.287Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$11.54at 0.308Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 20:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.217499973 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 20:49 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1624999768 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 18:35 | Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4199999272 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 18:34 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 20:56 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099999927 | $4.92 |
| 07-02 20:56 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 18:55 | Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 23:27 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 16:34 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 12:20 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 12:20 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 19:35 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 19:49 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 19:49 | France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 22:50 | Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |