PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0C2c51CD59335D6e5b1aFA6ED865C1E7F352DCe3-1771502209336

0x0c2c51cd59335d6e5b1afa6ed865c1e7f352dce3

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$50.2k
Markets traded
708
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded708
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.4940.875$265.43+$115.42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.5860.865$236.13+$76.13
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No0.5440.845$225.19+$80.19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.8340.985$219.12+$33.46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.3930.579$191.32+$61.32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5880.865$119.17+$38.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · No0.6400.695$108.52+$8.52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.8510.959$90.07+$10.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7240.845$81.66+$11.66
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · No0.4930.495$70.29+$0.29
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7400.805$54.38+$4.38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6400.815$50.94+$10.94
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8400.915$46.85+$3.85
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.855$45.40+$2.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.8290.990$35.81+$5.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 21:49Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.8289998747$5.00
10-13 19:41Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 13, 2026?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
10-13 19:27Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 13?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
10-13 19:14US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
10-13 19:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
10-13 19:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?BUY0.4299999991$10.00
10-13 18:48US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999983$10.00
10-13 16:05Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-13 16:05Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 13?BUY0.64$1.00
10-12 18:15Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 17?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-12 10:08Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?BUY0.564828151$20.00
10-12 10:08Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 12?BUY0.9$20.00
10-12 10:07Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 12?BUY0.9$10.00
10-11 21:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-11 19:00Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?BUY0.71$2.00