0x0c1e69c3ccac324e53a6e505ccc5b1d275246a99
0x0c1e69c3ccac324e53a6e505ccc5b1d275246a99
- Realised P&L
- $4.86
- Volume
- $308.06
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $11.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.72at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.41at 0.370US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.34at 0.382Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.410Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:35 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:35 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 18:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 10:18 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 01:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:50 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 08:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:10 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:05 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:06 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |