PolyBot

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Traders

ChristopherLin4620

0x0bfa50c0150f9733d52382aeab16e3a01f153888

Realised P&L
$440.77
Volume
$148.2k
Markets traded
315
Open portfolio
$68.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded315
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4600.205$44.08−$54.83
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.110$24.09−$164.25
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3800.017$0.09−$1.81
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1600.006$0.01−$0.31
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? · Yes0.0120.001$0.00−$0.01
Will Salsa Tekila win the Orderly trading competition? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.04
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 7? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.65
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$14.00
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.26
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$4.20
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? · Yes0.8690.000$0.00−$17.38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$0.07
Will Apple release a new product line in 2025? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.65
Will NFT #1734 win the Based trading competition? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.60
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00−$3.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-11 06:47Will Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?BUY0.899$250.82
01-11 04:16Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.77$205.64
01-10 22:15Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$206.70
01-10 10:05Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl?SELL0.89$566.04
01-10 01:58Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.61$87.23
01-09 22:46Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl?BUY0.89$566.04
01-09 22:31Another Elon baby by June 30?SELL0.9$151.20
01-09 19:06Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$26.74
01-09 17:20OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL0.86$17.20
01-09 17:12Will Britt Lower (Severance) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?SELL0.87$281.88
01-09 15:17Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.7$582.40
01-09 14:32Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?SELL0.76$218.88
01-09 13:52Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?BUY0.78$224.64
01-09 13:05Will Britt Lower (Severance) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?BUY0.87$281.88
01-09 13:00Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?SELL0.41$28.29