ChristopherLin4620
0x0bfa50c0150f9733d52382aeab16e3a01f153888
- Realised P&L
- $440.77
- Volume
- $148.2k
- Markets traded
- 315
- Open portfolio
- $68.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded315
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.83at 0.700Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$88.75at 0.540Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?
- +$72.49at 0.890Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$54.94at 0.620Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$48.67at 0.170Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-11 06:47 | Will Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes? | BUY | 0.899 | $250.82 |
| 01-11 04:16 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $205.64 |
| 01-10 22:15 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $206.70 |
| 01-10 10:05 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl? | SELL | 0.89 | $566.04 |
| 01-10 01:58 | Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.61 | $87.23 |
| 01-09 22:46 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl? | BUY | 0.89 | $566.04 |
| 01-09 22:31 | Another Elon baby by June 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $151.20 |
| 01-09 19:06 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $26.74 |
| 01-09 17:20 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 01-09 17:12 | Will Britt Lower (Severance) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.87 | $281.88 |
| 01-09 15:17 | Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7 | $582.40 |
| 01-09 14:32 | Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | SELL | 0.76 | $218.88 |
| 01-09 13:52 | Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | BUY | 0.78 | $224.64 |
| 01-09 13:05 | Will Britt Lower (Severance) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | BUY | 0.87 | $281.88 |
| 01-09 13:00 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | SELL | 0.41 | $28.29 |