PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Karukonserv

0x0bf897dacd1d5b5b2490c01824a806873a22ab60

Realised P&L
$-75.62
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$1.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · Yes0.1970.040$0.81$3.19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1770.030$0.52$2.48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1120.042$0.37$0.63
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$4.00
Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$3.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.00
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 15:27U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.1399999727$4.00
03-18 15:26EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?BUY0.196801968$4.00
03-18 15:26European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.235340227$4.00
03-18 15:25Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0964134207$5.00
03-18 15:06Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?BUY0.0569999484$1.00
03-18 15:05Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)BUY0.006$5.00
03-18 12:45Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)BUY0.012$1.00
03-18 11:07US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
03-18 11:07Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1124993911$1.00
03-18 10:37Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
03-17 05:35Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.143999886$1.00
03-17 05:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
03-17 05:34Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?BUY0.33999983$1.00
03-04 06:07Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony?BUY0.0079404467$1.00
03-04 06:07Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?BUY0.01$1.00