Karukonserv
0x0bf897dacd1d5b5b2490c01824a806873a22ab60
- Realised P&L
- $-75.62
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $1.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.50at 0.400Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
- +$4.89at 0.450Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$2.67at 0.600Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$1.63at 0.380Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.054Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 15:27 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |
| 03-18 15:26 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BUY | 0.196801968 | $4.00 |
| 03-18 15:26 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.235340227 | $4.00 |
| 03-18 15:25 | Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0964134207 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 15:06 | Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.0569999484 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 15:05 | Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 12:45 | Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.012 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 11:07 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 03-18 11:07 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1124993911 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 10:37 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 05:35 | Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.143999886 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 05:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 05:34 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 06:07 | Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony? | BUY | 0.0079404467 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 06:07 | Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |