oupsy
0x0bd1a5008dab95c7461f5fda9525148cadaff592
- Realised P&L
- $-28.77
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $181.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:22 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 17:18 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.1328047527 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 17:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.22 | $6.52 |
| 10-30 13:06 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 13:06 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1269999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 19:23 | Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"? | BUY | 0.0349999999 | $1.50 |
| 10-29 19:19 | Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? | BUY | 0.039469919 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 17:41 | Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"? | BUY | 0.0509999991 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 17:40 | Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-29 14:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.464048077 | $4.60 |
| 10-28 12:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 12:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.659999934 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 12:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 04:49 | Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"? | BUY | 0.0508246542 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 04:38 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.128 | $4.89 |